Comments on: I can’t help myself

By: pushmedia1

pushmedia1 — Thu, 06 Mar 2008 03:52:03 +0000

I’m sympathetic to your conspiracy idea, but I think you have consider only about 3 people are really paying attention this early (and after most people have had their primary).

By: swong

swong — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 20:49:18 +0000

Here’s the *real* question: would an Obama/Clinton ‘08 ticket give the Democrats a better or worse chance among independents and Obama Republicans?

Semi-plausible conspiracy theory: the Clinton/Obama feud makes great media. The longer they brawl, the more free press their platforms get compared to McCain. Is it possible that the Democrats are banking on the “Bad publicity is better than no publicity” adage?

Hm, the notion of media-savvy Democrats scares me as much as the notion of media-savvy Republicans.

By: pushmedia1

pushmedia1 — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 20:01:14 +0000

swong, exit polls, for what they’re worth, do suggest there’s quite a few Rebulicans and independents voting for Obama relative to Clinton.

Its not clear those independents would vote for Clinton, but its very likely those Republicans would vote for McCain given he’s seen as a liberal Republican (or non-conservative).

By: Jeff

Jeff — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 18:48:59 +0000

I dunno. Maybe her staying in will harden Obama, not soften him up. Besides, Clinton has nothing to lose. Her chances of beating the delegate math are slim, but then there is the issue of Florida. What if they re-run that primary there? She could take the lead in the popular vote, and that might give super delegates the political cover to vote for her. I’d keep running, too.

By: swong

swong — Wed, 05 Mar 2008 17:31:44 +0000

Hubris, methinks.

My take on it: if Obama gets the nomination, most of the Clintonites will still vote for him in the general election. If Clinton is nominated, a good number of Obamacans will vote for McCain instead. No data on this, just a hunch. It’s kind of irrational, really; the Democrats’ stated platforms are very similar.